2011 NFL Mock Draft: How Will the First 32 Picks Shake Out?
Published by Daniel Lewis (Featured Columnist) on April 10, 2011 at Bleacher Report. Click to download article.
Jerry Lai/USA TODAY Sports
With the weekend of April 28 approaching quickly, the pecking order for first round of the 2011 NFL Draft finally appears to be rounding into shape. Cam Newton climbs the draft board, another quarterback goes in the top ten, and a bunch of lineman on both sides of the ball come off the board on the first day of the draft.
Indeed, the first two hours inside Radio City Music Hall could end up being downright crazy. An unexpected rush on lineman, general managers trading up and down, and teams doing all they can to find the perfect player for their systems—this draft should eventful. Add in the lockout mess and a possible player boycott of the draft, and it could get even wilder.
Though there will be plenty of changes on teams’ draft boards between now and draft weekend, this slideshow should give fans a realistic look that team for whom each rookie will suit up.
1. Carolina Panthers – QB Cam Newton, Auburn
All signs are pointing to the Heisman winner Newton as the No. 1 overall selection. Though he has character concerns and could end up a huge bust because of his unique playing style, he is easily the most dominant talent in the draft at the most important position in all of sports. Indeed, he appears to have the makeup to be a top-flight NFL quarterback. With Jimmy Clausen flopping in his first year and receiving little endorsement from incoming coach Ron Rivera’s staff, the Panthers take a shot on Newton.
2. Denver Broncos – DT Marcell Dareus, Alabama
Mile High City is in desperate need of a presence in the middle if they hope to run John Fox’s 4-3 defense successfully. According to NFL Network’s Mike Mayock, “everybody in the league” feels it would be an upset if the Broncos choose not to select Dareus at the No. 2 spot. Considered the best defensive tackle in the draft by Mayock and Warren Sapp, Dareus is a no-brainer pick for Denver. Lining him up alongside pass rushing demon Elvis Dumervil would give the Broncos a dangerous DT/DE duo.
3. Buffalo Bills – QB Blaine Gabbert, Missouri
With a league-worst run defense, Buffalo seemingly has more pressing needs on defense. But Buffalo has to take a shot on the player they think can wake the team out of the doldrums. Gabbert has the size, arm strength, and mental makeup to become a franchise quarterback, and he will be able to adapt to the nuances of the NFL while sitting behind the underrated Ryan Fitzpatrick. In all, the Bills need someone to run Chan Gailey’s offense and provide the organization and its fan base with some excitement and hope.
4. Cincinnati Bengals – DE Robert Quinn, North Carolina
The Bengals might be the only team with a worse pass rush than the Bills. The defense is yearning for consistent playmakers in the front seven. Quinn has the goods to develop into one best sack artists in the game, and he would certainly fit the Bengals’ need for edge rushers. Indeed, he is, without a doubt, the most explosive defensive end available in the draft. A first-rate athlete and a natural pass rusher, he would represent an immediate upgrade for the Bengals’ defensive line and an excellent value for their first-round pick.
5. Arizona Cardinals – DE/LB Von Miller, Texas A&M
Miller had an impressive career at Texas A&M and deserves to be a top five selection no matter what type of specific needs players may still be on the board. The Cardinals struggled to slow opposing teams defensively, finishing 30th in the league in points allowed. Veteran OLB Joey Porter is expected to be released by the Cardinals due to his age and decline in production, and Miller would be perfect replacement—fit, mature, and young.
6. Cleveland Browns – WR A.J. Green, Georgia
Everything falls into place perfectly for the Cleveland Browns in this mock draft. QB Colt McCoy needs some pass catching weapons with which to work, and Green is an elite receiver prospect in the mold of Larry Fitzgerald. The Browns would love to secure his services without having to move up. A game-breaking deep threat, Green is exactly the sort of home-run hitter that would upgrade the worst group of skill players in the NFL.
7. San Francisco 49ers – CB Patrick Peterson, LSU
New coach Jim Harbaugh takes the best player available, and it just so happens that the best player available, Peterson, fills a need at cornerback. Arguably the most talented player in the draft, Peterson will receive consideration from all teams preceding San Fran, but cornerbacks have little history of going so high. He fits well for a Niners team that ranked 24th against the pass last year and is likely to cut ties with overpriced veteran Nate Clements.
8. Tennessee Titans – DT Nick Fairley, Auburn
Though the defensive line overperformed last year, line coach Jim Washburn bolted for the Eagles, which will expose the Titans' lack of dominant interior presence since losing Albert Haynesworth. Concerns about Fairley’s bust factor are real, but the new coaching staff with its defense-first mindset would have trouble passing on the best player available. First-year coach Mike Munchak needs to get him a tone setter on defense, and that player is Fairley.
9. Dallas Cowboys – CB Prince Amukamara, Nebraska
The Cowboys have an aging offensive line, but under owner Jerry Jones, the Cowboys have selected a scarce number of linemen in the first round. Indeed, Jerry Jones prefers to go with the sexy pick, and he selects the playmaking Amukamara. It is hard to envision a team lacking a playmaker in the secondary passing up on such a sure thing. The second best cornerback on the board, Amukamara would bring instant credibility to a secondary that needs it.
10. Washington Redskins – QB Jake Locker, Washington
Although a bit of a reach at the Skins’ spot, the former Washington quarterback possesses all the tools necessary to be a successful quarterback under Mike Shanahan. Shanahan’s system requires an athletic quarterback, and Locker is at his best throwing outside the pocket. With Rex Grossman due to become a free agent and Donovan McNabb on his way out after floundering as a Redskin, it is definitely time for the Redskins to look to the future for a new signal caller.
11. Houston Texans – DE/LB Aldon Smith, Missouri
With new coordinator Wade Phillips switching to a 3-4 defense, the Texans need to stock up on players to help make the transition. One such player that the Texans could grab in the first round is Aldon Smith, who projects as an outside linebacker for Houston. Referred to as “a DeMarcus Ware-type player in two years” by Warren Sapp, Smith could revitalize Houston’s perennially poor defense. In all, Smith is an incredible pass rusher and a sure tackler who has impressive speed. He might be the most athletic DE in draft rich with them, and Houston will consider him at No. 11.
12. Minnesota Vikings – DE Da’Quan Bowers, Clemson
After an underwhelming Pro Day, Bowers is likely to tumble past the top ten because of serious medical reports regarding his knee. With the team in danger of losing left end Ray Edwards and potentially having to release undisciplined second-year player Everson Griffen, Minnesota clearly needs help across from Jared Allen. The edge rusher out of Clemson is a physical specimen who would be able to fill the large void on the left side of the Vikes’ defensive line.
13. Detroit Lions – OT Tyron Smith, USC
In order for the Lions to rise up from the NFC North basement, they need to ride the arm of their first overall pick from 2009, Matthew Stafford. Stafford injured his shoulder twice last season and missed all but three games. Although he played brilliantly in those games, he needs to be protected better to stay healthy. For this reason, look for the Lions to target Smith to protect Stafford’s blind side and become the cornerstone of the Lions' offensive line moving forward.
14. St. Louis Rams – WR Julio Jones, Alabama
It is forgone conclusion that Jones will not fall past the wideout-needy Rams; the question is whether he will make it to them. If he is available, Jones will be the guy to fill in the void at wide receiver for the Rams. Having proven himself throughout his career at Alabama and performing well in the Combine, Jones would give 2010 No. 1 pick QB Sam Bradford the solid, dependable receiver that he needs to take the next step in his development.
15. Miami Dolphins – QB Christian Ponder, Florida State
Senior Bowl MVP Christian Ponder is an intriguing quarterback that the Miami Dolphins should take a chance on in the 2011 NFL Draft. After all, the Fins have wasted pick after pick on second-round quarterbacks, so now they should take one projected to go in the first round when they have the opportunity. Ponder would be an upgrade over Chad Henne in terms of accuracy and athleticism, likely overtaking Henne at some point during his rookie season.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars – DE Cameron Jordan, California
Former Jags G.M. James "Shack" Harris a mistake drafting Derrick Harvey three years ago, and now Gene Smith has to atone Harris' error by selecting another defensive end early in the draft. Jacksonville bulked up on the interior of the defensive line with DT Tyson Alualu in round one last year, but the team still needs talent on the edges. Veteran Aaron Kampman is coming off of his second knee surgery in as many seasons, and even if he returns to form, the Jags need a threat opposite him on the line. A versatile, balanced end with a high motor, Jordan is the edge rusher that the Jaguars need and probably the safest bet of any defensive end in this year's draft.
17. New England Patriots – DE/OLB Ryan Kerrigan, Purdue
Kerrigan has been a popular name among New England draftniks and certainly has the ability to be an impact player for the Patriots. The Purdue defensive end is relentless in pursuit and knows how to close on the quarterback. Kerrigan would be a nice addition to Pats’ roster, satisfying a need at outside linebacker. Easily one of the best defensive players in this class, mastermind Bill Belichick will find a way to get the most out of Kerrigan.
18. San Diego Chargers – DE J.J. Watt, Wisconsin
Though finishing as the top ranked defensive team last year, the Chargers are in the market for linebackers. However, their biggest need area is a five-technique defensive end, and Watt has the potential to be the best five-technique in the draft. San Diego’s front seven lacks some depth, and even though they drafted Larry English in 2009, the team appears to be getting ready to give up on him soon. Whether they select Watt or his fellow rushers Jordan and Kerrigan, the Chargers should get themselves help on the defensive end on the opening day of the draft.
19. New York Giants – OT Anthony Castonzo, Boston College
Offensive line is a position that G.M. Jerry Reese would be smart to address with multiple high-round picks. The G-Men are aging and injury-riddled up front, and they need to add some young blockers if they want to keep Eli Manning upright. Anthony Castonzo is a versatile lineman capable of playing either tackle position. The Giants would have the luxury of moving him around until he settles into a particular spot on the offensive line. Overall, he remains the most technique savvy tackle in this draft class and will not be available long once the selections start.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – DE Adrian Clayborn, Iowa
The Bucs have glaring holes at both defensive end positions; they are desperate enough for a pass rusher off of the edge that they could pull the trigger and reach for Clayborn. Clayborn’s shoulder injury and character concerns could push him out of the first round, but he still fills a primary area of need for G.M. Mark Dominik, who struck gold in taking a calculated risk on WR Mike Williams. The former Iowa star would be more than capable of starting at left end in Week One to help the Bucks improve on last season’s poor run defense up front.
21. Kansas City Chiefs – NT Phil Taylor, Baylor
The Chiefs front office is hungry to fill the nose tackle position for their 3-4 defense. At a space-eating 337 pounds, Taylor will certainly be able to fulfill a role as an immovable zero-technique. Besides, the Chiefs have to inject some young blood inside, especially if they think they will lose veteran starters Ron Edwards and Shaun Smith to free agency waters. Taylor appears to be a big, strong defensive tackle that will be able to hold down the fort for K.C.’s defensive line.
22. Indianapolis Colts – OT Derek Sherrod, Mississippi State
Left tackle Charlie Johnson remains unsigned for the upcoming season, and aging right tackle Ryan Diem is due a hefty $5.4 million salary coming off a subpar season. The Colts’ offensive line got thrown around last season, leaving Peyton Manning with very little time to throw all season. Sherrod is considered to be one of the best tackle prospects in this class. He would provide a much-needed shakeup for the unit, likely bumping Johnson inside pending a new contract. At any rate, Indy needs to protect Manning or risk losing out on the rest of his championship window.
23. Philadelphia Eagles – CB Jimmy Smith, Colorado
The Eagles will almost certainly lose out on elite corners Patrick Peterson and Prince Amukamara unless Andy Reid decides to trade up for a third consecutive year. A few teams have reportedly removed Smith from their boards after incidents with the law, but the Eagles do not have the luxury of shying away from him. A true size corner at 6-foot-2 and 211 pounds, Smith is the draft’s third most talent cornerback and would solidify the trouble spot opposite Asante Samuel.
24. New Orleans Saints – RB Mark Ingram, Alabama
The former Heisman winner falls a bit because of the preceding teams already have a solid stable of running banks. For the Saints, Ingram’s availability at this point is too much to pass on, especially considering how far the team had to reach into their depth chart last season. Pierre Thomas, Reggie Bush, and Chris Ivory all complement each other with their different running styles, but Mark Ingram gives them a traditional back who can handle the workload. He is an NFL-ready back who should help alleviate some of the pressure on quarterback Drew Brees.
25. Seattle Seahawks – C/G Mike Pouncey, Florida
The Seahawks have quite a few nice pieces on offense, but the unit’s biggest weakness remains its offensive line. Incumbent C Chris Spencer is a free agent, and RG Stacy Andrews, due $5.25 million next season, is a surefire salary casualty. Seattle needs to protect the quarterback better and provide a bigger push up front for the running game, and Pouncey is the most heralded interior lineman in this draft. Interior offensive linemen are not normally selected this high, but the success of his brother Maurkice in Pittsburgh helps Mike immensely on draft weekend. In short, Pouncey provides stability for a unit looking for answers.
26. Baltimore Ravens – WR Torrey Smith, Maryland
The Ravens’ veteran-laden receiving corps dropped the ball against the Steelers in a divisional playoff game. Accordingly, the Ravens select local star Torrey Smith and make him the third wideout taken in the draft. A true field stretcher with sub-4.4 speed, the former Terrapin would be a fan favorite in Baltimore, upgrading the league’s slowest receiver corps and serving as a dangerous downfield threat for the still developing Joe Flacco.
27. Atlanta Falcons – OT Gabe Carimi, Wisconsin
In last year’s draft, RT Bryan Bulaga was one of the most polished blockers available, but he fell into the Packers’ lap at No. 23 because he did not project as a left tackle. Similarly, while Carimi finished as the 2010 Big Ten Offensive Lineman of the Year, he will not go as high as some of the left tackles in this draft. By drafting the NFL-ready Carimi, the Falcons address their most pressing need—Harvey Dahl, Tyson Clabo, and Justin Blalock are all free agents.
28. New England Patriots – OT Nate Solder, Colorado
With Matt Light’s status unclear, the continued contract saga with Logan Mankins, and the retirement of Stephen Neal, the Patriots are in line to draft multiple offensive linemen in this year’s draft. The Pats need some youth up front in order to hold off the Jets and again finish on top of the AFC East. With youngster Sebastian Vollmer manning the right side and Solder stepping in on the left, the Patriots would feature a physically imposing pairs of tackles.
29. Chicago Bears – DT Corey Liuget, Illinois
The Bears cannot upgrade their offensive front because all the first-round prospects are off the board, and so the Bears go with the best player available in Liuget. The quick-footed Illinois lineman offers good value for a team looking to replace the released Tommie Harris at the three-technique position. With a defense that relies so much on pressure from its front four, the local lineman Liuget would be a welcome addition to Lovie Smith’s squad.
30. New York Jets – DT Muhammad Wilkerson, Temple
Defensive end was a problem position for the Jets throughout the year, evidenced by the fact that the team started Mike DeVito and picked up Trevor Pryce midseason. DT Shaun Ellis is probably going to be back, but he turns 34 during next season, and the team cannot count on him to continue to produce at a high level. A perfect fit for the Jets, Wilkerson is an elite 3-4 defensive end prospect that can also slide inside. The ex-Owl knows how to get after the passer, and he helps the Jets in their pass rush, which struggled a bit last year.
31. Pittsburgh Steelers – CB Brandon Harris, Miami
One reason the Steelers fell short in the Super Bowl was their inability to slow the Packers’ passing game, especially whenever Green Bay spread the field. Harris instantly provides help in nickel situations and brings the physicality and toughness that Steelers defensive coordinator Dick LeBeau demands. Pittsburgh is in danger of losing two of its top three cornerbacks to free agency, including top cover man Ike Taylor, and so defensive-minded head coach Mike Tomlin goes with the former Miami Hurricane.
32. Green Bay Packers – DE/OLB Justin Houston, Georgia
Although they have a premier pass rusher in LB Clay Matthews, the Super Bowl champions could nevertheless use more help getting after the quarterback, and Houston demonstrated at Georgia that he can bring it. He has the explosiveness and power off the edge that defensive coordinator Dom Capers uses to control the edges in his 3-4 defense. Raw from a technique perspective, he could learn from Matthews and eventually become his pass rushing mate.
Out of the first round: UCLA LB Akeem Ayers, TCU QB Andy Dalton, Ohio State DE Cameron Heyward, North Carolina DT Marvin Houston, Nevada QB Colin Kaepernick, Arkansas QB Ryan Mallett, Notre Dame TE Kyle Rudolph, Arizona LB Brooks Reed, Pittsburgh LB Jabaal Sheard, and Texas CB Aaron Williams.
2011 NFL Draft: Overall Take
Though this mock draft considers each team’s needs and each player’s talent, there will undoubtedly be a lot of movement come draft day.
Teams picking in the early teens could opt to move up or down because of a noticeable drop in talent level to either acquire the player they covet or stockpile more picks in later rounds.
Moreover, at least one G.M. will throw a curve by and reach for a certain player, and players will fall due to character or medical concerns.
At any rate, there will be plenty of changes on teams’ draft boards between now and draft weekend.
Indeed, the first two hours inside Radio City Music Hall could end up being downright crazy. An unexpected rush on lineman, general managers trading up and down, and teams doing all they can to find the perfect player for their systems—this draft should eventful. Add in the lockout mess and a possible player boycott of the draft, and it could get even wilder.
Though there will be plenty of changes on teams’ draft boards between now and draft weekend, this slideshow should give fans a realistic look that team for whom each rookie will suit up.
1. Carolina Panthers – QB Cam Newton, Auburn
All signs are pointing to the Heisman winner Newton as the No. 1 overall selection. Though he has character concerns and could end up a huge bust because of his unique playing style, he is easily the most dominant talent in the draft at the most important position in all of sports. Indeed, he appears to have the makeup to be a top-flight NFL quarterback. With Jimmy Clausen flopping in his first year and receiving little endorsement from incoming coach Ron Rivera’s staff, the Panthers take a shot on Newton.
2. Denver Broncos – DT Marcell Dareus, Alabama
Mile High City is in desperate need of a presence in the middle if they hope to run John Fox’s 4-3 defense successfully. According to NFL Network’s Mike Mayock, “everybody in the league” feels it would be an upset if the Broncos choose not to select Dareus at the No. 2 spot. Considered the best defensive tackle in the draft by Mayock and Warren Sapp, Dareus is a no-brainer pick for Denver. Lining him up alongside pass rushing demon Elvis Dumervil would give the Broncos a dangerous DT/DE duo.
3. Buffalo Bills – QB Blaine Gabbert, Missouri
With a league-worst run defense, Buffalo seemingly has more pressing needs on defense. But Buffalo has to take a shot on the player they think can wake the team out of the doldrums. Gabbert has the size, arm strength, and mental makeup to become a franchise quarterback, and he will be able to adapt to the nuances of the NFL while sitting behind the underrated Ryan Fitzpatrick. In all, the Bills need someone to run Chan Gailey’s offense and provide the organization and its fan base with some excitement and hope.
4. Cincinnati Bengals – DE Robert Quinn, North Carolina
The Bengals might be the only team with a worse pass rush than the Bills. The defense is yearning for consistent playmakers in the front seven. Quinn has the goods to develop into one best sack artists in the game, and he would certainly fit the Bengals’ need for edge rushers. Indeed, he is, without a doubt, the most explosive defensive end available in the draft. A first-rate athlete and a natural pass rusher, he would represent an immediate upgrade for the Bengals’ defensive line and an excellent value for their first-round pick.
5. Arizona Cardinals – DE/LB Von Miller, Texas A&M
Miller had an impressive career at Texas A&M and deserves to be a top five selection no matter what type of specific needs players may still be on the board. The Cardinals struggled to slow opposing teams defensively, finishing 30th in the league in points allowed. Veteran OLB Joey Porter is expected to be released by the Cardinals due to his age and decline in production, and Miller would be perfect replacement—fit, mature, and young.
6. Cleveland Browns – WR A.J. Green, Georgia
Everything falls into place perfectly for the Cleveland Browns in this mock draft. QB Colt McCoy needs some pass catching weapons with which to work, and Green is an elite receiver prospect in the mold of Larry Fitzgerald. The Browns would love to secure his services without having to move up. A game-breaking deep threat, Green is exactly the sort of home-run hitter that would upgrade the worst group of skill players in the NFL.
7. San Francisco 49ers – CB Patrick Peterson, LSU
New coach Jim Harbaugh takes the best player available, and it just so happens that the best player available, Peterson, fills a need at cornerback. Arguably the most talented player in the draft, Peterson will receive consideration from all teams preceding San Fran, but cornerbacks have little history of going so high. He fits well for a Niners team that ranked 24th against the pass last year and is likely to cut ties with overpriced veteran Nate Clements.
8. Tennessee Titans – DT Nick Fairley, Auburn
Though the defensive line overperformed last year, line coach Jim Washburn bolted for the Eagles, which will expose the Titans' lack of dominant interior presence since losing Albert Haynesworth. Concerns about Fairley’s bust factor are real, but the new coaching staff with its defense-first mindset would have trouble passing on the best player available. First-year coach Mike Munchak needs to get him a tone setter on defense, and that player is Fairley.
9. Dallas Cowboys – CB Prince Amukamara, Nebraska
The Cowboys have an aging offensive line, but under owner Jerry Jones, the Cowboys have selected a scarce number of linemen in the first round. Indeed, Jerry Jones prefers to go with the sexy pick, and he selects the playmaking Amukamara. It is hard to envision a team lacking a playmaker in the secondary passing up on such a sure thing. The second best cornerback on the board, Amukamara would bring instant credibility to a secondary that needs it.
10. Washington Redskins – QB Jake Locker, Washington
Although a bit of a reach at the Skins’ spot, the former Washington quarterback possesses all the tools necessary to be a successful quarterback under Mike Shanahan. Shanahan’s system requires an athletic quarterback, and Locker is at his best throwing outside the pocket. With Rex Grossman due to become a free agent and Donovan McNabb on his way out after floundering as a Redskin, it is definitely time for the Redskins to look to the future for a new signal caller.
11. Houston Texans – DE/LB Aldon Smith, Missouri
With new coordinator Wade Phillips switching to a 3-4 defense, the Texans need to stock up on players to help make the transition. One such player that the Texans could grab in the first round is Aldon Smith, who projects as an outside linebacker for Houston. Referred to as “a DeMarcus Ware-type player in two years” by Warren Sapp, Smith could revitalize Houston’s perennially poor defense. In all, Smith is an incredible pass rusher and a sure tackler who has impressive speed. He might be the most athletic DE in draft rich with them, and Houston will consider him at No. 11.
12. Minnesota Vikings – DE Da’Quan Bowers, Clemson
After an underwhelming Pro Day, Bowers is likely to tumble past the top ten because of serious medical reports regarding his knee. With the team in danger of losing left end Ray Edwards and potentially having to release undisciplined second-year player Everson Griffen, Minnesota clearly needs help across from Jared Allen. The edge rusher out of Clemson is a physical specimen who would be able to fill the large void on the left side of the Vikes’ defensive line.
13. Detroit Lions – OT Tyron Smith, USC
In order for the Lions to rise up from the NFC North basement, they need to ride the arm of their first overall pick from 2009, Matthew Stafford. Stafford injured his shoulder twice last season and missed all but three games. Although he played brilliantly in those games, he needs to be protected better to stay healthy. For this reason, look for the Lions to target Smith to protect Stafford’s blind side and become the cornerstone of the Lions' offensive line moving forward.
14. St. Louis Rams – WR Julio Jones, Alabama
It is forgone conclusion that Jones will not fall past the wideout-needy Rams; the question is whether he will make it to them. If he is available, Jones will be the guy to fill in the void at wide receiver for the Rams. Having proven himself throughout his career at Alabama and performing well in the Combine, Jones would give 2010 No. 1 pick QB Sam Bradford the solid, dependable receiver that he needs to take the next step in his development.
15. Miami Dolphins – QB Christian Ponder, Florida State
Senior Bowl MVP Christian Ponder is an intriguing quarterback that the Miami Dolphins should take a chance on in the 2011 NFL Draft. After all, the Fins have wasted pick after pick on second-round quarterbacks, so now they should take one projected to go in the first round when they have the opportunity. Ponder would be an upgrade over Chad Henne in terms of accuracy and athleticism, likely overtaking Henne at some point during his rookie season.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars – DE Cameron Jordan, California
Former Jags G.M. James "Shack" Harris a mistake drafting Derrick Harvey three years ago, and now Gene Smith has to atone Harris' error by selecting another defensive end early in the draft. Jacksonville bulked up on the interior of the defensive line with DT Tyson Alualu in round one last year, but the team still needs talent on the edges. Veteran Aaron Kampman is coming off of his second knee surgery in as many seasons, and even if he returns to form, the Jags need a threat opposite him on the line. A versatile, balanced end with a high motor, Jordan is the edge rusher that the Jaguars need and probably the safest bet of any defensive end in this year's draft.
17. New England Patriots – DE/OLB Ryan Kerrigan, Purdue
Kerrigan has been a popular name among New England draftniks and certainly has the ability to be an impact player for the Patriots. The Purdue defensive end is relentless in pursuit and knows how to close on the quarterback. Kerrigan would be a nice addition to Pats’ roster, satisfying a need at outside linebacker. Easily one of the best defensive players in this class, mastermind Bill Belichick will find a way to get the most out of Kerrigan.
18. San Diego Chargers – DE J.J. Watt, Wisconsin
Though finishing as the top ranked defensive team last year, the Chargers are in the market for linebackers. However, their biggest need area is a five-technique defensive end, and Watt has the potential to be the best five-technique in the draft. San Diego’s front seven lacks some depth, and even though they drafted Larry English in 2009, the team appears to be getting ready to give up on him soon. Whether they select Watt or his fellow rushers Jordan and Kerrigan, the Chargers should get themselves help on the defensive end on the opening day of the draft.
19. New York Giants – OT Anthony Castonzo, Boston College
Offensive line is a position that G.M. Jerry Reese would be smart to address with multiple high-round picks. The G-Men are aging and injury-riddled up front, and they need to add some young blockers if they want to keep Eli Manning upright. Anthony Castonzo is a versatile lineman capable of playing either tackle position. The Giants would have the luxury of moving him around until he settles into a particular spot on the offensive line. Overall, he remains the most technique savvy tackle in this draft class and will not be available long once the selections start.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – DE Adrian Clayborn, Iowa
The Bucs have glaring holes at both defensive end positions; they are desperate enough for a pass rusher off of the edge that they could pull the trigger and reach for Clayborn. Clayborn’s shoulder injury and character concerns could push him out of the first round, but he still fills a primary area of need for G.M. Mark Dominik, who struck gold in taking a calculated risk on WR Mike Williams. The former Iowa star would be more than capable of starting at left end in Week One to help the Bucks improve on last season’s poor run defense up front.
21. Kansas City Chiefs – NT Phil Taylor, Baylor
The Chiefs front office is hungry to fill the nose tackle position for their 3-4 defense. At a space-eating 337 pounds, Taylor will certainly be able to fulfill a role as an immovable zero-technique. Besides, the Chiefs have to inject some young blood inside, especially if they think they will lose veteran starters Ron Edwards and Shaun Smith to free agency waters. Taylor appears to be a big, strong defensive tackle that will be able to hold down the fort for K.C.’s defensive line.
22. Indianapolis Colts – OT Derek Sherrod, Mississippi State
Left tackle Charlie Johnson remains unsigned for the upcoming season, and aging right tackle Ryan Diem is due a hefty $5.4 million salary coming off a subpar season. The Colts’ offensive line got thrown around last season, leaving Peyton Manning with very little time to throw all season. Sherrod is considered to be one of the best tackle prospects in this class. He would provide a much-needed shakeup for the unit, likely bumping Johnson inside pending a new contract. At any rate, Indy needs to protect Manning or risk losing out on the rest of his championship window.
23. Philadelphia Eagles – CB Jimmy Smith, Colorado
The Eagles will almost certainly lose out on elite corners Patrick Peterson and Prince Amukamara unless Andy Reid decides to trade up for a third consecutive year. A few teams have reportedly removed Smith from their boards after incidents with the law, but the Eagles do not have the luxury of shying away from him. A true size corner at 6-foot-2 and 211 pounds, Smith is the draft’s third most talent cornerback and would solidify the trouble spot opposite Asante Samuel.
24. New Orleans Saints – RB Mark Ingram, Alabama
The former Heisman winner falls a bit because of the preceding teams already have a solid stable of running banks. For the Saints, Ingram’s availability at this point is too much to pass on, especially considering how far the team had to reach into their depth chart last season. Pierre Thomas, Reggie Bush, and Chris Ivory all complement each other with their different running styles, but Mark Ingram gives them a traditional back who can handle the workload. He is an NFL-ready back who should help alleviate some of the pressure on quarterback Drew Brees.
25. Seattle Seahawks – C/G Mike Pouncey, Florida
The Seahawks have quite a few nice pieces on offense, but the unit’s biggest weakness remains its offensive line. Incumbent C Chris Spencer is a free agent, and RG Stacy Andrews, due $5.25 million next season, is a surefire salary casualty. Seattle needs to protect the quarterback better and provide a bigger push up front for the running game, and Pouncey is the most heralded interior lineman in this draft. Interior offensive linemen are not normally selected this high, but the success of his brother Maurkice in Pittsburgh helps Mike immensely on draft weekend. In short, Pouncey provides stability for a unit looking for answers.
26. Baltimore Ravens – WR Torrey Smith, Maryland
The Ravens’ veteran-laden receiving corps dropped the ball against the Steelers in a divisional playoff game. Accordingly, the Ravens select local star Torrey Smith and make him the third wideout taken in the draft. A true field stretcher with sub-4.4 speed, the former Terrapin would be a fan favorite in Baltimore, upgrading the league’s slowest receiver corps and serving as a dangerous downfield threat for the still developing Joe Flacco.
27. Atlanta Falcons – OT Gabe Carimi, Wisconsin
In last year’s draft, RT Bryan Bulaga was one of the most polished blockers available, but he fell into the Packers’ lap at No. 23 because he did not project as a left tackle. Similarly, while Carimi finished as the 2010 Big Ten Offensive Lineman of the Year, he will not go as high as some of the left tackles in this draft. By drafting the NFL-ready Carimi, the Falcons address their most pressing need—Harvey Dahl, Tyson Clabo, and Justin Blalock are all free agents.
28. New England Patriots – OT Nate Solder, Colorado
With Matt Light’s status unclear, the continued contract saga with Logan Mankins, and the retirement of Stephen Neal, the Patriots are in line to draft multiple offensive linemen in this year’s draft. The Pats need some youth up front in order to hold off the Jets and again finish on top of the AFC East. With youngster Sebastian Vollmer manning the right side and Solder stepping in on the left, the Patriots would feature a physically imposing pairs of tackles.
29. Chicago Bears – DT Corey Liuget, Illinois
The Bears cannot upgrade their offensive front because all the first-round prospects are off the board, and so the Bears go with the best player available in Liuget. The quick-footed Illinois lineman offers good value for a team looking to replace the released Tommie Harris at the three-technique position. With a defense that relies so much on pressure from its front four, the local lineman Liuget would be a welcome addition to Lovie Smith’s squad.
30. New York Jets – DT Muhammad Wilkerson, Temple
Defensive end was a problem position for the Jets throughout the year, evidenced by the fact that the team started Mike DeVito and picked up Trevor Pryce midseason. DT Shaun Ellis is probably going to be back, but he turns 34 during next season, and the team cannot count on him to continue to produce at a high level. A perfect fit for the Jets, Wilkerson is an elite 3-4 defensive end prospect that can also slide inside. The ex-Owl knows how to get after the passer, and he helps the Jets in their pass rush, which struggled a bit last year.
31. Pittsburgh Steelers – CB Brandon Harris, Miami
One reason the Steelers fell short in the Super Bowl was their inability to slow the Packers’ passing game, especially whenever Green Bay spread the field. Harris instantly provides help in nickel situations and brings the physicality and toughness that Steelers defensive coordinator Dick LeBeau demands. Pittsburgh is in danger of losing two of its top three cornerbacks to free agency, including top cover man Ike Taylor, and so defensive-minded head coach Mike Tomlin goes with the former Miami Hurricane.
32. Green Bay Packers – DE/OLB Justin Houston, Georgia
Although they have a premier pass rusher in LB Clay Matthews, the Super Bowl champions could nevertheless use more help getting after the quarterback, and Houston demonstrated at Georgia that he can bring it. He has the explosiveness and power off the edge that defensive coordinator Dom Capers uses to control the edges in his 3-4 defense. Raw from a technique perspective, he could learn from Matthews and eventually become his pass rushing mate.
Out of the first round: UCLA LB Akeem Ayers, TCU QB Andy Dalton, Ohio State DE Cameron Heyward, North Carolina DT Marvin Houston, Nevada QB Colin Kaepernick, Arkansas QB Ryan Mallett, Notre Dame TE Kyle Rudolph, Arizona LB Brooks Reed, Pittsburgh LB Jabaal Sheard, and Texas CB Aaron Williams.
2011 NFL Draft: Overall Take
Though this mock draft considers each team’s needs and each player’s talent, there will undoubtedly be a lot of movement come draft day.
Teams picking in the early teens could opt to move up or down because of a noticeable drop in talent level to either acquire the player they covet or stockpile more picks in later rounds.
Moreover, at least one G.M. will throw a curve by and reach for a certain player, and players will fall due to character or medical concerns.
At any rate, there will be plenty of changes on teams’ draft boards between now and draft weekend.